根据美国零售联合会 (NRF) 和 Hackett Associates 的全球港口追踪报告，预计到初秋，美国集装箱港口将处理较低的进口量,，延续今年早些时候开始的趋势,。
US container ports are projected to handle lower import volumes into early autumn, continuing a trend that began earlier in the year, according to the Global Port Tracker report from the National Retail Federation (NRF) and Hackett Associates.
在此背景下，零售商在经济持续不确定的情况下仍对增加库存保持“谨慎”。
This comes as retailers remain “cautious” about building up inventories amid ongoing economic uncertainty.
“ 第一季度集装箱进口同比下降,，远期需求正在减弱,” Hackett Associates 创始人 Ben Hackett 表示。 “补货工作的停滞和地缘政治紧张局势的加剧日益给前景蒙上阴影。”
“Containerised imports in the first quarter were down year over year, and forward demand is weakening,” said Hackett Associates founder Ben Hackett. “Stalling re-stocking efforts and rising geopolitical tensions are increasingly clouding the outlook.”
深入了解 GlobalData
Go deeper with GlobalData
商业智能的黄金标准。
The gold standard of business intelligence.
发现有效的 B2B 营销
Discover B2B Marketing That Performs
将商业智能与卓越编辑相结合，覆盖 36 个领先媒体平台上积极参与的专业人士。
Combine business intelligence and editorial excellence to reach engaged professionals across 36 leading media platforms.
数据显示，尽管预计 5 月和 6 月, 的同比增长存在偏差，但预计未来几个月总体销量仍将低于 2025 年的水平。
The data shows that despite a skewed year-on-year increase projected for May and June, overall volumes are expected to remain below 2025 levels over the next several months.
3 月份,，全球港口追踪记录显示，通过美国主要港口, 的运输量为 216 万标准箱，比上一年增加了 0.6%。与 2 月份, 相比，这一数字增长了 13.6%，当时受亚洲工厂因农历新年庆祝活动而关闭以及恶劣天气导致货物延误的影响。
In March, the Global Port Tracker recorded 2.16 million TEUs moving through major US ports, marking a 0.6% increase on the previous year. This represented a 13.6% rise compared to February, a period impacted by Asian factory closures for Lunar New Year celebrations and adverse weather that led to cargo delays.
初步估计 4 月份的吞吐量为 213 万个 20 英尺当量单位 (TEUs),，与去年 4 月份相比预计下降 3.6%。
Preliminary estimates place April的 throughput at 2.13 million twenty-foot equivalent units (TEUs), registering a projected decline of 3.6% compared to April last year.
5 月份的预测为 217 万标准箱,，同比增长 11.1%,，而 6 月份的预测为 213 万标准箱,，比去年同期增长 8.2%。
The forecast for May points to 2.17 million TEUs, up 11.1% year-over-year, while June is anticipated at 2.13 million TEUs, reflecting an 8.2% increase from the previous year.
尽管取得了这些增长,，报告预计未来几个月销量将下降。 7 月份预计为 220 万标准箱,，比去年下降 7.8%,，随后 8 月份下降 5.5% 至 219 万标准箱。
Despite these gains, the report expects volumes to fall in the following months. July is forecast at 2.2 million TEUs, down 7.8% from last year, followed by a 5.5% declined to 2.19 million TEUs in August.
9月份,进口货运量预计为208万标准箱,下降1.3%。
In September, import cargo is expected at 2.08 million TEUs, down 1.3%.
报告估计 2026 年上半年进口总量为 1,259 万标准箱,，较 2025 年同期增长 0.5%。
For the first half of 2026, the report estimates total imports at 12.59 million TEUs, representing a 0.5% increase from the same period in 2025.
NRF 供应链和海关政策副总裁 Jonathan Gold 表示: “ 数字显示未来两个月同比增长, 但 只是因为 2025 年 4 月宣布关税‘解放日 关税后进口急剧下降。伊朗, 进口量下降的总体趋势预计此后将持续。”
NRF supply chain and customs policy vice president Jonathan Gold said: “The numbers show a year-over-year increase for the next two months, but that的 only because of the sharp fall-off in imports after ‘Liberation Day tariffs were announced in April 2025. With inflation rising and consumer confidence falling among global economic uncertainty driven by the conflict in Iran, the overall trend of lower imports is expected to continue after that.”
全球港口追踪器编制了美国主要装卸点, 的数据和预测，包括洛杉矶/长滩, 奥克兰, 西海岸的西雅图和塔科马, 纽约/新泽西, 弗吉尼亚港, 查尔斯顿, 萨凡纳, 埃弗格莱兹港, 东海岸的迈阿密和杰克逊维尔, 以及墨西哥湾沿岸的休斯顿。
The Global Port Tracker compiles data and forecasts for key US handling points, including Los Angeles/Long Beach, Oakland, Seattle and Tacoma on the West Coast, New York/New Jersey, Port of Virginia, Charleston, Savannah, Port Everglades, Miami and Jacksonville on the East Coast, and Houston on the Gulf Coast.
订阅我们的每日新闻综述!
Sign up for our daily news round-up!
利用我们领先的行业见解为您的企业带来优势。
Give your business an edge with our leading industry insights.
深入了解 GlobalData
Go deeper with GlobalData
商业智能的黄金标准。
The gold standard of business intelligence.
获取更深入的行业情报
Access deeper industry intelligence
通过结合了独特的 data, AI, 和人类专业知识的单一平台体验无与伦比的清晰度。
Experience unmatched clarity with a single platform that combines unique data, AI, and human expertise.